Reflections & analysis about innovation, technology, startups, investing, healthcare, and more .... with a focus on Minnesota, Land of 10,000 Lakes. Blogging continuously since 2005.

Category: Entrepreneurship (Page 53 of 60)

The ‘Other’ YouTube Founder – Minnesota’s Own!

Great story on page 1A of the StarTrib today: St. Paul Whiz Kid Cashes In. Yes, Jawed Karim, the quiet one you don’t hear much about is from here. Jawedkarim He’s not involved day-to-day in YouTube right now, since he’s studying computer science at Stanford (which is why you don’t hear his name mentioned much) — but, as a founder of the company, he definitely benefits from the Google buyout. A quote from the story:

Although he has lived in California for several years now, he still considers himself “a Minnesota guy.”I think Minnesota has a unique place among the states,” Karim said. “It’s very progressive and modern, but it’s not overrun by all the negative things that come with progress. Things are a little more in balance with Minnesota.”

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Dan Gillmor on Silicon Valley’s Declining Image

Speaking of the options-backdating debacle, Dan Gillmor wrote an incisive piece recently in PR Week, where he has a regular column. I met Dan several years ago at an O’Reilly conference, and I have much respect for the man. Few journalists have a better perspective on the Valley than he does, after so many years covering the tech beat for the Merc News. His latest PR Week column was entitled Silicon Valley’s image troubles run a lot deeper than just PR. Since that link is behind a paywall for most of you, let me provide some excerpts:

Like most others in Silicon Valley, I’ve watched Hewlett-Packard’s slow-motion train wreck – its unethical and probably illegal anti-leak spying program – with awe….

The current management is trying hard to spin its misbehavior into something that will let the company go back to business as usual. Good luck.

HP’s woes have shifted focus away from another corporate ethical debacle, namely the stock options scandal. That, you’ll recall, involves corporate chieftains and their obedient (or incompetent) directors, who’ve abused shareholders to further enrich the executives.

As a Silicon Valley resident, I’m sorry to say these affairs have the Valley and its longstanding arrogance in common. The 1990s stock bubble and its predations were bad enough. The latest news has made things worse…

Then he goes on to cite a metric that reminds us we’ve hardly heard the end of this saga….

…when the Valley’s most venerable big company gets caught running a sleazy spying operation, and when roughly half of the companies known to be under investigation for stock options shenanigans are in the tech business, you can’t just ignore reality…

He also mentions the troubles of a man who was previously one of the most renowned, iconish names in the Valley — top tech-industry lawyer Larry Sonsini:

….Sonsini’s role in the Valley’s dual debacles may be the most intriguing. As outside counsel for HP, he offered advice – not to worry, we’re doing nothing illegal, he effectively told the board as its spying operation neared public disclosure – that met a low standard indeed: What’s acceptable is what you can get away with, not what’s right.

Sonsini’s firm has also represented many of the tech companies under investigation in the options matter. No big surprise, given that the firm has been the Valley’s most influential and powerful for years, but it does raise more questions. Handling PR for Sonsini and his colleagues right now must be nightmarish, too.

In his closing, though, Gillmor succinctly lays out the real challenge for the tech establishment:

No doubt, the Valley’s image will recover eventually. But making that happen will require some honest introspection in executive suites and boardrooms, not just clever PR. How likely is that?

Makes one think of the company motto adopted not long ago by a certain new tech leader (whose name starts with “G”). Maybe that motto — “Don’t Be Evil” — wasn’t just window dressing? Maybe these kids had a deeper knowledge and insight about Valley culture than we realized….

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Angel Investing Is On the Move

Angel_investor2 Angel investors are banding into networks at an increasing rate, especially in the Upper Midwest, and they’re getting a lot more savvy, I learned at a conference sponsored by RAIN Source Capital, September 28-29, in Mankato, MN. Separately, I also read recently that the number of angel-funded deals was up 15% in the first half of 2006.

The RAIN organization, based in the Twin Cities, has already formed 17 networks in several cities and key regional centers in Minnesota, Iowa, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Montana. And it plans 10 more in the next year, expanding into additional states that include the Pacific Northwest. To say I was impressed by their “network of networks” model and how far it’s come in a short amount of time would be an understatement. Rainmakersconf They appear to be out in front of a trend, meeting the market need to fill the infamous “gap” between very early-stage funding and traditional VC funding. It’s a gap many entrepreneurs have been more than frustrated with in recent years as they attempt to attract capital to get their ventures off the ground. And it’s the angels — increasingly smart bands of these angels — that are stepping up to fill that gap.

Key Things I Learned at This Event
• A recurring topic was that angels frequently see entrepreneurs who lack the ability to be coached. That was a word heard at the conference early and often. But, with their experience founding and running successful businesses, it’s not hard to understand that most angels want to invest in people who want and can take advice — that is, who realize they need more than money.

• In the U.S., there are currently about 200,000 angels, but only about 10% of them are organized into any group. That figure was courtesy of speaker Bill Payne, Entrepreneur-in-Residence at the Kauffman Foundation (pictured here). Billpayne

• However, the number of angel groups is expanding, he said, and most of the approximately 250 that now exist in the country are so-called networks, which study deals together and make investments as a group. Less than 20% of that number, though, currently pools capital in advance and votes. Thus, Payne said, the RAIN organization, though it may be growing rapidly, has a ways to go yet before it can be considered “mainsteam.” There are lots of models out there, most based on what works in a local community, he said.

• The average angel deal, according to Payne, takes about five years until exit, and has about a 25% IRR (internal rate of return), which means a 3X return by the end of that five years. And most successful angels split their investing about 50-50 between early-stage and late-stage deals. “But,” he said, “it’s a bumpy, uneven road” to reach milestones. “And entrepreneurs lie, so we have to do multiple rounds.” He said that, of his 31 angel investments over the years, two deals took as long as 15 years to exit. Generally speaking, he said “You have to realize you’re in a decade-long activity.”

• How involved do angels get in their investments? “Most get very engaged,” said Payne, “but not necessarily in every portfolio company — they can’t possibly be. The beauty of a network is that someone from the group can ensure that all investments are being monitored properly.”

• What about valuation? Pre-money valuation is critical, said Payne, and he likes deals in the range of $1-3 million. His basic formula for ROI on an angel deal is quite simple: divide projected terminal value in year 5 by the post-money valuation (assuming no dilution). “But with an average overfall ROI of only 10-15%, you need a large portfolio to ensure success, and a 10-year commitment.”

• Diversification is the key, says Steve Mercil, CEO of RAIN Source Capital. “No one person can have enough expertise. The value of the network is what this is all about. It’s the ‘penguin concept’ — you jump in with others.”

• Can entrepreneurs be humble? “They have blind spots,” said Gene McGowan, a member of Prairie Winds Capital LLC angel network in Sioux Falls, SD, and a panelist in one of the sessions. “And we need to help them fill those. If they’re not open to a partnership relationship, that’s not good. They must be humble enough — it’s the smartest thing they can do, accept help in filling those blind spots.”

• What’s the most important thing an angel can do after he invests? “Know the controller!” said McGowan. Watch the financial statements, added another panelist, and be especially concerned if key people are leaving.

• What’s perhaps the second most important? “Dry powder,” said Jerry Okerman, former head of the 3M Company’s venture capital program, referring to follow-on investments. “You’ll need at least 50% more at the ready, maybe 100%.”

• What’s the one constant you can plan on? “Change,” said Cathy Connett, “and it’s always related to the people.” So, she said, angels and angel networks must always be ready to deal with that, and we heard again a reference to the “coachability” of the founder. Cathy has been an angel investor since 1993 and in now a member of one of the RAIN networks in the Twin Cities, the Sophia Angel Fund.

Billion-Dollar Buyouts of Upper Midwest Startups
In his opening-evening keynote at this event, Rich Karlgaard spoke of his favorite story about “small town America” tech startups in our region — that being Doug Burgum’s Great Plain Software in Fargo, ND, which Microsoft acquired in late 2000 for $1.1 billion.

But in the closing keynote after lunch the following day, we got to hear the story of yet another $1.1B acquisition: Midwest Wireless of Mankato, MN, which is being acquired by Alltel. Announced originally in November 2005, we learned the deal was actually expected to close just a few days after the event. The guy telling this amazing growth story was Dennis Miller himself (pictured here), the CEO and founder of Midwest Wireless (who plans to stay on with Alltel once the deal is final). Dennismilleralltel Miller said that Midwest Wireless began in 1990 with a handful of employees and a single tower in New Ulm, MN [one of my favorite towns, where the oldest brewery in the state, Schell’s Beer, still flourishes]. By the end of the ’90s, the company had 4700 towers. It made its first acquisition in 1996, a wireless company in Rochester, MN. By the year 2000, it had 234 employees and 110,000 customers and made another acquisition — this one for $165M — which expanded the company’s service area into Iowa and Western Wisconsin. By 2003, Midwest Wireless made a big bet: it switched over to CDMA technology, which Miller implied was a big challenge for the fledgling firm, but one they survived. By the end of 2003, his firm had grown to 507 employees and 356,000 customers, revenues had expanded to $179M, and it had made a second Iowa acquisition by the end of that year. Fast forward to the end of 2005, when the company had reached 636 employees and 440,000 customers, and $264M in revenues.

“What was our biggest challenge?” CEO Miller rhetorically asked. Not surprisingly, he said that was “dealing with rapid growth.” But another question he said he’s been asked more often recently is this: “Why exit?” Miller explained: “We could see the ‘Big Four’ were rapidly expanding their market share, and we could see that was at the expense of the smaller players. The ‘everybody else’ category was declining rapidly.”

In 2005, said Miller, “Things started to heat up.” Western Wireless, based in Seattle, was acquired by Alltel. Consolidation in rural wireless markets was underway, he said. So Miller and his management team started interviewing investment bankers. In July, the firm hired Bear Stearns and, by August or September, the auction process had begun. But it didn’t take long for the process to come to head: on November 19, 2005, Alltel announced its intent to acquire Midwest Wireless for just shy of $1.1 billion.

In retrospect, here are some of the impressive metrics Miller cited for Midwest Wireless: (1) His company’s shares saw an increase over this time period of 300%, and (2) the firm achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.5%.

What key decisions could he look back on? an audience member asked. “We didn’t sell out in the crazy late ’90s,” said Miller. “We couldn’t see how those shareholders could win. If it’s too good to be true, then it probably is.”

Next question: How did your job change from 10 employees to 600+? “You learn what you do well, and you hire people to do the rest,” he said. “And then you let them do it!” Miller then offered up a great metaphor: “You give them rope, and — when you do that — you’ll find they more often tie bows than nooses.”

Final question from the angel audience: Why did you join the RAIN fund? [Miller has been a member of one of the networks, based in his hometown of Mankato, MN, for some time.] “It’s a great idea, and wonderful people. We’re all a part of a regional ecosystem,” he said. “If we can pool resources, we all win.”

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Why Google Just Paid $1.65 Billion for YouTube

This chart says it all….

Youtubechart

In surfing, there’s a saying for one of the ultimate achievements in riding a wave: “getting tubed.” Well, today, I’d say YouTube kicked out of the ultimate tube ride of all time in the history of tech startups! A story that began just 19 months ago. Congratulations to Chad, Steve, and the 65 other lucky souls above the pizza shop out in San Bruno. Talk about winning the lottery…

And lest we not forget the VC behind it all, Sequoia Capital (behind Google as well) — just what they need: another $495 million in winnings! 🙂

Venerable VC Firm Says Model Is Dead

The biggest news over the weekend for me, besides the developing story about the Google-YouTube deal (now looking like it wasn’t just a rumor!), was definitely this one in Saturday’s New York Times: A Kink in Venture Capital’s Gold Chain. Goldeneggbroken Turns out Sevin Rosen, with a 30-year history in the venture capital business, is throwing in the towel on its latest fund and declaring the VC model is broken.

Fred Wilson — who writes the blog “A VC” — provided some further perspective on this news in his post on Saturday: Is The ‘Traditional Venture Capital Model’ Broken?.

All of this is actually a great preamble to my next post, which is about how another breed of early-stage investing is lately coming into its own: angel networks. I’ve been trying to get this one written and now it’s almost done — and the timing as relates the above news turns out to be propitious. Stand by….

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