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Tag: RAIN Source Capital

Angels and VCs Working More Closely? Signs of Hope…

In the technology startup world, angels and VCs have at best been seen as different camps, with separate perspectives, and even being at odds with each other many times. One is from Venus, the other’s from Mars. One tends to be a cocky MBA, the other’s an entrepreneur with real operational experience. Armwrestling_2

One pounds spreadsheets all day, the other’s a cowboy. As a minimum, they certainly don’t have a record of working closely together. They can compete for deal flow, they often distrust each another, and it’s frequently heard that angel investments can foul up the chance for later VC rounds because of unrealistic valuations or poor cap structure, or whatever.

There was a time when "venture capital" was synonymous with seed-stage investing. But, with the trend in recent years toward larger and larger funds, some approaching $1 billion, "You don’t have to do much math to realize that such firms are forced to make bigger and bigger investments to generate adequate returns for their limited partners," says Sramana Mitra in her recent column in Forbes: The Real VCs of Silicon Valley. (Mitra is an experienced technology entrepreneur and strategy consultant in Silicon Valley.) An excerpt from the column:

"…if you are an entrepreneur, especially a first-time entrepreneur,
you need to look for the ‘real’ VCs who are willing to take risks and
invest their time in mentoring you, not those big names that the term
venture capital normally conjures."

And who does Mitra say those real VCs are?

"So-called ‘angels.’ While VCs primarily invest other people’s money,
angels invest their own. An entrepreneur working on a fledgling idea
needs investors who not only provide valuable business advice but also
connect the dots to make business development partnerships happen, help
recruit key team members and help move the venture from concept to a
fundable company. Angels tend to have the operational background
necessary to play such a role."

Angels investing is no small phenomenon. One study found that that angels invested $25.6 billion in
2006 in the U.S. in 251,000 mostly early-stage deals (for an average investment of
about $100,000).

In her piece, Mitra seriously questions whether and how the gap created by VCs moving to larger and larger investments is being filled. Her closing line: "In capitalism, gaps generally get spotted and filled. This one–and the entrepreneurs in it–is still waiting."

Clarion Call
Mitra’s point comes early in her column: "we need to create a sort of microequity program for start-ups." It’s getting to be a common refrain; angels are clearly being expected to pick up more of the slack, as VCs leave early-stage investing behind and entrepreneurs get increasingly frustrated. Yet positive things are starting to happen, with more and more sophisticated, managed angel groups forming (or becoming more formalized), all across the country.

Note: this is not just a Silicon Valley phenomenon. That may be the epicenter of the VC industry, and where most of their money is invested, but not so for angel investors. Their is no epicenter. Sure, there are some notable angel groups in the Valley. But the distribution of these groups is much more even across the country. If anything, the Midwest rules. The Angel Capital Association is located in, are you ready? …Kansas. Of the organization’s approximately 150 member groups (see their directory), it’s the Midwest region that has the largest number of such groups (40), by a wide margin. So, yes, it’s fair to say that angel investing is more a heartland thing.

Reactions from Both Sides
Seeing the column in Forbes inspired me to do another blog post on angel investing. (See this category of my blog for lots more I’ve written on the topic; I also did a recent post on the new blog Minnov8.) After reading the Forbes piece, I reached out to three of my contacts whom I thought would have something to say in reaction.  First, from the angel side:

"I really think that linking the angel and VC markets really hurts both models," said Pete Birkeland, CFO of angel network management firm RAIN Source Capital, St. Paul. "The VCs get hammered for not investing early enough, and the angels get hammered for scattershot investing. These are two complementary but distinct activities. They’re both needed to continue to grow companies and innovate. As we run our angel groups, we want to be able to look at opportunities that are early and risky, and invest in those that have a potential for a return.  That return may be 3-5x, and we may be able to live on a seven-year horizon —  that (scenario) wouldn’t even get past a first screen by a VC. We need an ‘angel manifesto’ that breaks us away from VCs, and the mindset that we have to all become VCs.  However, with the view of limited partners and the dollars involved, it’s tough to escape the gravitational pull of the VC model."

And from an individual angel: "Founders, especially those without prior startup experience, need strong advisors, even operational advisors," said Doug Henrich, a former Microsoft executive and angel investor now living in the Twin Cities. "For an angel to be successful, I feel he or she needs to be active in the startup. The money of course is needed, but the experience and counsel are more valuable in successful startups. The experience has to come from somewhere…I wonder how large VCs can make money in the software space these days."  I read that last comment of Henrich’s to mean that, for software startups, angel investors are naturally a better fit — that such firms need the type of mentoring that comes from angels in their early stages. In other words, VCs’ big money isn’t the answer; it doesn’t tend to produce the desired result.

One Big Sign of Hope
From the VC side, I very much wanted to get a comment from a firm I know well — one that started in Minneapolis, still has close ties here, but has been headquartered in Palo Alto for several years: Crescendo Ventures. Davidspreng
David Spreng is the Managing General Partner of the firm, and has been on the board of the NVCA (National Venture Capital Association) since 2005. He recently launched a great blog called "Lightbulb," and here’s his About page there. But the most interesting thing is that David was recently tapped by the NVCA board to be the organization’s liaison to the angel community. That, to me, is very cool — a sure sign the two sides will be coming closer together in the future.

David was jumping on a plane when he I caught him, but pointed me to a recent blog post of his titled Angels and VCs Find Common Ground. In it, he reprints an article he co-wrote a couple of months ago with a board member of the Angel Capital Association. I had heard wind of this article before, and told him I bet I could get some good insights of his from it. I was right. I encourage you to read the full article, but here’s an excerpt:

While both angel groups and VCs have issues to improve in our relationships and processes, establishing strong relationships with quality angel groups can be extremely valuable to a venture firm’s deal flow and ultimate returns.

At $250,000 to $1 million, the average size round for an angel group is often below what most venture capitalists would consider investing in a Series A round. However, respected angel groups may well have the next generation of promising early stage companies that a venture capitalist is not ready to invest in but also doesn’t want to lose track of.

The ACA and the NVCA are both committed to working together to improve the relationships between angel groups and venture capitalists by sharing best practices and enhancing communications between the two associations.

Transitions from angel groups to venture capitalists should be seamless and considered a valued relationship for all the stakeholders, including entrepreneurs, co-investors and limited partners.

As I said, signs of hope. And it can all only be good for you entrepreneurs out there.

UPDATE (4/11/08): Well, maybe not as much hope as I thought. Just saw Sramana Mitra’s new column this morning in Forbes:  Fund Envy: Venture funds are getting bigger all the time. This is bad news for aspiring entrepreneurs. Yes, she says, taking a poke at the name of a well-known VC’s blog, "Greed, indeed, is infectious."

 

Angel Investing Is On the Move

Angel_investor2 Angel investors are banding into networks at an increasing rate, especially in the Upper Midwest, and they’re getting a lot more savvy, I learned at a conference sponsored by RAIN Source Capital, September 28-29, in Mankato, MN. Separately, I also read recently that the number of angel-funded deals was up 15% in the first half of 2006.

The RAIN organization, based in the Twin Cities, has already formed 17 networks in several cities and key regional centers in Minnesota, Iowa, North Dakota, South Dakota, and Montana. And it plans 10 more in the next year, expanding into additional states that include the Pacific Northwest. To say I was impressed by their “network of networks” model and how far it’s come in a short amount of time would be an understatement. Rainmakersconf They appear to be out in front of a trend, meeting the market need to fill the infamous “gap” between very early-stage funding and traditional VC funding. It’s a gap many entrepreneurs have been more than frustrated with in recent years as they attempt to attract capital to get their ventures off the ground. And it’s the angels — increasingly smart bands of these angels — that are stepping up to fill that gap.

Key Things I Learned at This Event
• A recurring topic was that angels frequently see entrepreneurs who lack the ability to be coached. That was a word heard at the conference early and often. But, with their experience founding and running successful businesses, it’s not hard to understand that most angels want to invest in people who want and can take advice — that is, who realize they need more than money.

• In the U.S., there are currently about 200,000 angels, but only about 10% of them are organized into any group. That figure was courtesy of speaker Bill Payne, Entrepreneur-in-Residence at the Kauffman Foundation (pictured here). Billpayne

• However, the number of angel groups is expanding, he said, and most of the approximately 250 that now exist in the country are so-called networks, which study deals together and make investments as a group. Less than 20% of that number, though, currently pools capital in advance and votes. Thus, Payne said, the RAIN organization, though it may be growing rapidly, has a ways to go yet before it can be considered “mainsteam.” There are lots of models out there, most based on what works in a local community, he said.

• The average angel deal, according to Payne, takes about five years until exit, and has about a 25% IRR (internal rate of return), which means a 3X return by the end of that five years. And most successful angels split their investing about 50-50 between early-stage and late-stage deals. “But,” he said, “it’s a bumpy, uneven road” to reach milestones. “And entrepreneurs lie, so we have to do multiple rounds.” He said that, of his 31 angel investments over the years, two deals took as long as 15 years to exit. Generally speaking, he said “You have to realize you’re in a decade-long activity.”

• How involved do angels get in their investments? “Most get very engaged,” said Payne, “but not necessarily in every portfolio company — they can’t possibly be. The beauty of a network is that someone from the group can ensure that all investments are being monitored properly.”

• What about valuation? Pre-money valuation is critical, said Payne, and he likes deals in the range of $1-3 million. His basic formula for ROI on an angel deal is quite simple: divide projected terminal value in year 5 by the post-money valuation (assuming no dilution). “But with an average overfall ROI of only 10-15%, you need a large portfolio to ensure success, and a 10-year commitment.”

• Diversification is the key, says Steve Mercil, CEO of RAIN Source Capital. “No one person can have enough expertise. The value of the network is what this is all about. It’s the ‘penguin concept’ — you jump in with others.”

• Can entrepreneurs be humble? “They have blind spots,” said Gene McGowan, a member of Prairie Winds Capital LLC angel network in Sioux Falls, SD, and a panelist in one of the sessions. “And we need to help them fill those. If they’re not open to a partnership relationship, that’s not good. They must be humble enough — it’s the smartest thing they can do, accept help in filling those blind spots.”

• What’s the most important thing an angel can do after he invests? “Know the controller!” said McGowan. Watch the financial statements, added another panelist, and be especially concerned if key people are leaving.

• What’s perhaps the second most important? “Dry powder,” said Jerry Okerman, former head of the 3M Company’s venture capital program, referring to follow-on investments. “You’ll need at least 50% more at the ready, maybe 100%.”

• What’s the one constant you can plan on? “Change,” said Cathy Connett, “and it’s always related to the people.” So, she said, angels and angel networks must always be ready to deal with that, and we heard again a reference to the “coachability” of the founder. Cathy has been an angel investor since 1993 and in now a member of one of the RAIN networks in the Twin Cities, the Sophia Angel Fund.

Billion-Dollar Buyouts of Upper Midwest Startups
In his opening-evening keynote at this event, Rich Karlgaard spoke of his favorite story about “small town America” tech startups in our region — that being Doug Burgum’s Great Plain Software in Fargo, ND, which Microsoft acquired in late 2000 for $1.1 billion.

But in the closing keynote after lunch the following day, we got to hear the story of yet another $1.1B acquisition: Midwest Wireless of Mankato, MN, which is being acquired by Alltel. Announced originally in November 2005, we learned the deal was actually expected to close just a few days after the event. The guy telling this amazing growth story was Dennis Miller himself (pictured here), the CEO and founder of Midwest Wireless (who plans to stay on with Alltel once the deal is final). Dennismilleralltel Miller said that Midwest Wireless began in 1990 with a handful of employees and a single tower in New Ulm, MN [one of my favorite towns, where the oldest brewery in the state, Schell’s Beer, still flourishes]. By the end of the ’90s, the company had 4700 towers. It made its first acquisition in 1996, a wireless company in Rochester, MN. By the year 2000, it had 234 employees and 110,000 customers and made another acquisition — this one for $165M — which expanded the company’s service area into Iowa and Western Wisconsin. By 2003, Midwest Wireless made a big bet: it switched over to CDMA technology, which Miller implied was a big challenge for the fledgling firm, but one they survived. By the end of 2003, his firm had grown to 507 employees and 356,000 customers, revenues had expanded to $179M, and it had made a second Iowa acquisition by the end of that year. Fast forward to the end of 2005, when the company had reached 636 employees and 440,000 customers, and $264M in revenues.

“What was our biggest challenge?” CEO Miller rhetorically asked. Not surprisingly, he said that was “dealing with rapid growth.” But another question he said he’s been asked more often recently is this: “Why exit?” Miller explained: “We could see the ‘Big Four’ were rapidly expanding their market share, and we could see that was at the expense of the smaller players. The ‘everybody else’ category was declining rapidly.”

In 2005, said Miller, “Things started to heat up.” Western Wireless, based in Seattle, was acquired by Alltel. Consolidation in rural wireless markets was underway, he said. So Miller and his management team started interviewing investment bankers. In July, the firm hired Bear Stearns and, by August or September, the auction process had begun. But it didn’t take long for the process to come to head: on November 19, 2005, Alltel announced its intent to acquire Midwest Wireless for just shy of $1.1 billion.

In retrospect, here are some of the impressive metrics Miller cited for Midwest Wireless: (1) His company’s shares saw an increase over this time period of 300%, and (2) the firm achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.5%.

What key decisions could he look back on? an audience member asked. “We didn’t sell out in the crazy late ’90s,” said Miller. “We couldn’t see how those shareholders could win. If it’s too good to be true, then it probably is.”

Next question: How did your job change from 10 employees to 600+? “You learn what you do well, and you hire people to do the rest,” he said. “And then you let them do it!” Miller then offered up a great metaphor: “You give them rope, and — when you do that — you’ll find they more often tie bows than nooses.”

Final question from the angel audience: Why did you join the RAIN fund? [Miller has been a member of one of the networks, based in his hometown of Mankato, MN, for some time.] “It’s a great idea, and wonderful people. We’re all a part of a regional ecosystem,” he said. “If we can pool resources, we all win.”

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Rich Karlgaard on ‘Net Disruption and Forbes

Switching back to the event I attended this past Thursday evening, the RAIN Makers Conference, I wanted to pass along some of the insightful remarks made in the dinner keynote by my friend Richkarlgaardheadshot_2 Rich Karlgaard of Forbes. [Or as Guy Kawasaki, another friend and business partner, calls him, “Brother Rich.”]

“Since 2001, the global economy has added the equivalent of the whole U.S. economy,” Rich said, as he opened his talk with reference to macro trends. But, though the fundamentals are good, experts don’t agree that it’s a good economy, he said. And, when experts differ so much, something is up. “That something is we’re living in the greatest period of business model change — ever! Companies can come out of nowhere and knock out big players,” Karlgaard said. He referred to what McKinsey & Company calls the “topple rate” of established industry leaders, which tripled over a 20-year period according to their research. Rainmakersconf_1 One industry where this is happening is newspapers, with the stock of the New York Times, for example, at half what it was in 2002. Why is the industry in trouble? “Craig’s List is one reason,” he said, “a company with 23 employees.” He noted that McKinsey said the topple rate will triple again, and he gave some reasons why this volatility will stay with us. “The backside of Moore’s Law is the part that’s important. As performance increases, prices drop 30% a year. Suddenly, hundreds of millions more people can afford technology every year.” He also cited the example of Google bootstrapping its way early on, with the founders not taking equity investment but instead maxing out their credit cards.

Another reason is that the Internet is an amazing price arbitrage system. “Today, what two students can do on the ‘Net is more than what 10 analysts could do ten years ago. Now, anybody can determine what your margins are and come in well under your prices — maybe even 10% of them. Anyone can pick up your skirt.” Karlgaard gave an example of a 17-year-old kid he wrote about in his column recently who did such a thing and grossed $400,000 over three months, just by putting together a virtual team. He talked to his worldwide team members by phone only twice, doing everything else by email or IM. “Just another example,” Rich said, “of the Cheap Revolution at work.”

A final reason he said we’ll continue to see volatility is the amount of capital available. “Forbes even took capital recently — from Elevation Partners, where Bono is a partner!” Bono Read more about that in this Reuters story. [Another Elevation partner is Roger MacNamee, who has a rock band of his own: The Flying Other Brothers. Hey, I got the t-shirt! Right from Roger a few years ago…] Just how much money is out there? Rich laid it out: “About $1.5 trillion in risk capital is sloshing around looking to cause havoc. And about a half trillion of that is in the U.S. We’ll have volatility up the kazoo — get used to it.”

“What does all this have to do with you?” he asked the primarily Midwest audience of angels and business owners. “Well, cost becomes important.” He gave the example of companies such as Intel and HP that are lucky enough to have sales of $700,000 per employee — which may sound impressive, but it’s still not enough for these employees to really afford to live in Silicon Valley. “Now, Google, at $1.4 million in revenues per employee — they can!” His point: “The cost gap between the Valley and rural America is bigger than ever. But the knowledge gap isn’t.” Media access is not a problem anywhere, either, he pointed out — citing how it was much, much different when he grew up in Bismarck, ND. “All this portends well for a heartland revival,” Karlgaard said. “It’s a great time to be a nimble, small private company in a small or midsized town.” The macro trends favor disruption, he said. And the role of the U.S. in the global economy is “systems integrator to the world.”

How the Internet Is Affecting Forbes
Karlgaard also related some very interesting numbers about his employer, in addition to the recent equity investment by Elevation Partners. The surprising stats to many will be the growth metrics of Forbes.com. Forbescomlogo “It’s growing at 70% year-over-year, and will have more ad revenue than the magazine by the end of 2007.” He said that’s what got Elevation Partners interested. “In the media business, as revenues double, valuation triples.” Forbes has very definitely become a global franchise. It’s seeing most of its growth on the Internet, and most of that growth is non-U.S. “But we’ll never give up on the magazine,” he said.

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An Evening With Rich Karlgaard

Fresh back from DEMO early this morning, I found myself getting ready to attend yet another event this afternoon, this one in Mankato, MN, of all places — the RAIN Makers conference. It’s an annual gathering sponsored by RAIN Source Capital of St. Paul, which manages a large network of angel funds throughout the upper midwest. The keynote speaker was my good friend Rich Karlgaard, publisher of Forbes. His talk was a big hit with the 150 attendees, mostly experienced angels and successful business owners. Herewith a few shots, including one taken with yours truly just after Rich’s book signing following his talk. More later…

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