Graeme Thickins on Tech

Reflections & analysis about innovation, technology, startups, investing, healthcare, and more .... with a focus on Minnesota, Land of 10,000 Lakes. Blogging continuously since 2005.

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Tim O’Reilly Asks Jonathan Schwartz the ‘Missed Questions’

In case you didn’t catch this, a couple of days ago Tim O’Reilly asked the Twittersphere if they’d like to put any questions to the CEO of Sun, about an hour before he was to interview him on-stage at the Web 2.0 Expo in SF this week. 2441268833_fee85854a1
(Photo by James Duncan Davidson.) Well, Tim was wondering why he wasn’t seeing any questions coming through on Twitter, till he realized (too late) that he had his Twitter app settings wrong on his smart phone! (Unfortunately, he was only getting replies from those he was following.)  Well, I wasn’t on Tim’s follow list, so my question, which I submitted within minutes of when he Twittered about this, was missed … along with a whole bunch of other people’s questions.

A few hours after the session ended, I saw a tweet from Tim where he graciously had decided he would do a blog post to ask those Twittered questions of Schwartz via email, after the fact. That exchange took a day or so, but Tim just posted the resulting Q&A yesterday, here: Missed Twitter Questions from Jonathan Schwartz Interview at Web 2.0 Expo.

So, as you’ll see on Tim’s post, my question (about blogging and Twittering, of course) did get asked, and answered — and, thanks to Twitter, I didn’t even have to go the conference! 🙂  There were several other good questions that Schwartz answered as well. The hint about what’s to come regarding Sun’s "network.com" offering is especially interesting. Thanks, Tim, for the great recovery — you’re forgiven!

This Blog’s For You, Bud

I love this blog post so much, from my other blog, that I just have to post it here, too.  Well, a least a link to it.  Put it up a little earlier today.  I’ve never done such a thing before, double up like this, but I just have to make an exception for this one.  I mean, how often does a guy get to talk about beer and blogging in the same sentence? Hmmm, I wonder how many beers the employees get to have every day at Miller Brewing?  Okay, excuse the day-dreaming….

Anyway, read the full post — it’s a great social media and marketing story.

Nmwthisblogsforyou

For Innovation in Minnesota, Check Out ‘Minnov8’

Here’s the first part of another post I did over at our new multi-author blog called Minnov8:

The
University of Minnesota is among the top patent producers in the world,
ranking #4 on Scientist Magazine’s list of “Patent Powerhouses,” behind
only three other major American universities. Yet, quantity of patents
hardly paints the entire picture. What about helping to start up
companies to commercialize those patents?

Uofmlogo

According to the U’s own business development people (see link to
Powerpoint presentation at bottom), the 20-year success record of the
U’s technology company spinoffs is only half
the university average nationally — and less than one-fourth the
success record of the nation’s premier schools. What’s more, in one
recent year (2004), for example, the U of MN spun off only one company
compared to 14 at the University of Michigan and 16 at the University
of Illinois. Why I am focusing here on spinoffs? Well, because,
according the U’s own business development people, creating university
spinoffs is “much more profitable than licensing (revenues)” to the
school.

And, besides, the largest source of the U’s licensing revenues will run out soon …. post continued here.

Blogging Less, Twittering More…Plus YHOO & GOOG Are Up to Something

In case you haven’t noticed, my blog posts here are fewer and farther between these days, just because I’m so damn busy. (I’ll tell you why soon.) But thank god somebody invented microblogging(!), because it sure is easier and faster. I’m sure many of you have seen the accompanying cartoon strip. Twittertwittertwitter_2

But it’s true — Twitter has definitely allowed me, with my crazy schedule, to keep putting forth some of my observations and perspectives on the world around me. I’m grateful for that.

Latest case in point: I Twittered earlier today about how Yahoo’s already reporting positive results from its test with Google to outsource search to the latter. Well, it’s not really the company directly reporting that — rather, it’s the proverbial "people familiar with the matter," according to the WSJ. (But that would most likely be Yahoo or Google employees who asked the reporter not to identify them.)  A Citigroup Global Markets analyst even said this deal could increase Yahoo’s cash flow a whopping $1 billion per year.

Some would say this latest "leak" is all about Yahoo trying to get a better price per share from Microsoft. I don’t agree. Google has more to do than help Yahoo shareholders get another buck or two. I think Yahoo very seriously wants to avoid the Microsoft deal and is working overtime to find a better alternative.  And Google obviously has the incentive to help them do that. I don’t think the latest Yahoo move is just posturing at all. As the Journal says, the only other tie-up that seems to be possible right now is a deal with Time Warner’s AOL, wherein the latter would become a 20% owner of Yahoo. However, the matter of who will win Yahoo seems far from over to me yet. I like to think that News Corp. hasn’t really played its ultimate hand, for example. And, of course, being that they now own the WSJ, I don’t find it surprising that the writer of today’s article didn’t quote anyone on that possibility.

Angels and VCs Working More Closely? Signs of Hope…

In the technology startup world, angels and VCs have at best been seen as different camps, with separate perspectives, and even being at odds with each other many times. One is from Venus, the other’s from Mars. One tends to be a cocky MBA, the other’s an entrepreneur with real operational experience. Armwrestling_2

One pounds spreadsheets all day, the other’s a cowboy. As a minimum, they certainly don’t have a record of working closely together. They can compete for deal flow, they often distrust each another, and it’s frequently heard that angel investments can foul up the chance for later VC rounds because of unrealistic valuations or poor cap structure, or whatever.

There was a time when "venture capital" was synonymous with seed-stage investing. But, with the trend in recent years toward larger and larger funds, some approaching $1 billion, "You don’t have to do much math to realize that such firms are forced to make bigger and bigger investments to generate adequate returns for their limited partners," says Sramana Mitra in her recent column in Forbes: The Real VCs of Silicon Valley. (Mitra is an experienced technology entrepreneur and strategy consultant in Silicon Valley.) An excerpt from the column:

"…if you are an entrepreneur, especially a first-time entrepreneur,
you need to look for the ‘real’ VCs who are willing to take risks and
invest their time in mentoring you, not those big names that the term
venture capital normally conjures."

And who does Mitra say those real VCs are?

"So-called ‘angels.’ While VCs primarily invest other people’s money,
angels invest their own. An entrepreneur working on a fledgling idea
needs investors who not only provide valuable business advice but also
connect the dots to make business development partnerships happen, help
recruit key team members and help move the venture from concept to a
fundable company. Angels tend to have the operational background
necessary to play such a role."

Angels investing is no small phenomenon. One study found that that angels invested $25.6 billion in
2006 in the U.S. in 251,000 mostly early-stage deals (for an average investment of
about $100,000).

In her piece, Mitra seriously questions whether and how the gap created by VCs moving to larger and larger investments is being filled. Her closing line: "In capitalism, gaps generally get spotted and filled. This one–and the entrepreneurs in it–is still waiting."

Clarion Call
Mitra’s point comes early in her column: "we need to create a sort of microequity program for start-ups." It’s getting to be a common refrain; angels are clearly being expected to pick up more of the slack, as VCs leave early-stage investing behind and entrepreneurs get increasingly frustrated. Yet positive things are starting to happen, with more and more sophisticated, managed angel groups forming (or becoming more formalized), all across the country.

Note: this is not just a Silicon Valley phenomenon. That may be the epicenter of the VC industry, and where most of their money is invested, but not so for angel investors. Their is no epicenter. Sure, there are some notable angel groups in the Valley. But the distribution of these groups is much more even across the country. If anything, the Midwest rules. The Angel Capital Association is located in, are you ready? …Kansas. Of the organization’s approximately 150 member groups (see their directory), it’s the Midwest region that has the largest number of such groups (40), by a wide margin. So, yes, it’s fair to say that angel investing is more a heartland thing.

Reactions from Both Sides
Seeing the column in Forbes inspired me to do another blog post on angel investing. (See this category of my blog for lots more I’ve written on the topic; I also did a recent post on the new blog Minnov8.) After reading the Forbes piece, I reached out to three of my contacts whom I thought would have something to say in reaction.  First, from the angel side:

"I really think that linking the angel and VC markets really hurts both models," said Pete Birkeland, CFO of angel network management firm RAIN Source Capital, St. Paul. "The VCs get hammered for not investing early enough, and the angels get hammered for scattershot investing. These are two complementary but distinct activities. They’re both needed to continue to grow companies and innovate. As we run our angel groups, we want to be able to look at opportunities that are early and risky, and invest in those that have a potential for a return.  That return may be 3-5x, and we may be able to live on a seven-year horizon —  that (scenario) wouldn’t even get past a first screen by a VC. We need an ‘angel manifesto’ that breaks us away from VCs, and the mindset that we have to all become VCs.  However, with the view of limited partners and the dollars involved, it’s tough to escape the gravitational pull of the VC model."

And from an individual angel: "Founders, especially those without prior startup experience, need strong advisors, even operational advisors," said Doug Henrich, a former Microsoft executive and angel investor now living in the Twin Cities. "For an angel to be successful, I feel he or she needs to be active in the startup. The money of course is needed, but the experience and counsel are more valuable in successful startups. The experience has to come from somewhere…I wonder how large VCs can make money in the software space these days."  I read that last comment of Henrich’s to mean that, for software startups, angel investors are naturally a better fit — that such firms need the type of mentoring that comes from angels in their early stages. In other words, VCs’ big money isn’t the answer; it doesn’t tend to produce the desired result.

One Big Sign of Hope
From the VC side, I very much wanted to get a comment from a firm I know well — one that started in Minneapolis, still has close ties here, but has been headquartered in Palo Alto for several years: Crescendo Ventures. Davidspreng
David Spreng is the Managing General Partner of the firm, and has been on the board of the NVCA (National Venture Capital Association) since 2005. He recently launched a great blog called "Lightbulb," and here’s his About page there. But the most interesting thing is that David was recently tapped by the NVCA board to be the organization’s liaison to the angel community. That, to me, is very cool — a sure sign the two sides will be coming closer together in the future.

David was jumping on a plane when he I caught him, but pointed me to a recent blog post of his titled Angels and VCs Find Common Ground. In it, he reprints an article he co-wrote a couple of months ago with a board member of the Angel Capital Association. I had heard wind of this article before, and told him I bet I could get some good insights of his from it. I was right. I encourage you to read the full article, but here’s an excerpt:

While both angel groups and VCs have issues to improve in our relationships and processes, establishing strong relationships with quality angel groups can be extremely valuable to a venture firm’s deal flow and ultimate returns.

At $250,000 to $1 million, the average size round for an angel group is often below what most venture capitalists would consider investing in a Series A round. However, respected angel groups may well have the next generation of promising early stage companies that a venture capitalist is not ready to invest in but also doesn’t want to lose track of.

The ACA and the NVCA are both committed to working together to improve the relationships between angel groups and venture capitalists by sharing best practices and enhancing communications between the two associations.

Transitions from angel groups to venture capitalists should be seamless and considered a valued relationship for all the stakeholders, including entrepreneurs, co-investors and limited partners.

As I said, signs of hope. And it can all only be good for you entrepreneurs out there.

UPDATE (4/11/08): Well, maybe not as much hope as I thought. Just saw Sramana Mitra’s new column this morning in Forbes:  Fund Envy: Venture funds are getting bigger all the time. This is bad news for aspiring entrepreneurs. Yes, she says, taking a poke at the name of a well-known VC’s blog, "Greed, indeed, is infectious."

 
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